Please see the Terms of Use for more details. MacKay is also less likely to keep the party united, Pon said, pointing to his comments after the last federal election that then-leader Scheer’s social-conservative values were hanging around his neck like a “stinking albatross,” costing MacKay credibility with social conservatives, who are widely thought to be a powerful sect in the party. Conservatives looking for leader who can win on national stage: Powers, Ranked ballot, social conservative vote could be key in securing O’Toole’s victory, strategists say, MacKay leads CPC leadership race, but O’Toole popular as second choice of Lewis, Sloan backers: Mainstreet poll, Evening Brief: COVID cases on ‘rapid growth trajectory’, Canada must work with Biden to defend our democracies against Russia, NDP’s push to recall Parliament before Jan. 25 meets resistance, Top court’s winter session includes a murder charge, a comedian, and a snowbank, Ford ejects MPP from caucus for ‘spreading misinformation’ about lockdown. The Conservatives have improved their position since the arrival of new leader Erin O'Toole, but still have some ground to make up to get back to where they were on election night in 2019. Rishi Sunak, who has only been part of the Cabinet for just under a year, is the bookies' hot favourite to be the next Tory leader at odds of just 3/1 with Bet365. The MP added: "We'd like to be in a Government that has the impression of being competent, rather than lurching from one issue to another and then after a short time doing a U-turn. All Rights Reserved. In the current leadership race, the social conservative base has rallied. Now with pressure being piling onto Mr Johnson, several names have been tipped to replace him as Conservative Party leader if he chooses to resign or is somehow forced out. Former Conservative strategist Tim Powers. “He’s very aware of what the membership is. The Prime Minister warned there would still be "some turbulence ahead" and that things would be "difficult" on the economic front, while the need remained to "get this disease absolutely out of our systems". ", READ MORE: Brexit LIVE: Boris tells Barnier to drop state aid demands or no deal. DON'T MISSThere's no defence for Boris's evasions, says ANN WIDDECOMBE [OPINION]Brexiteer reveals Britain’s ‘secret weapon’ in EU talks [COMMENT]Brexit ultimatum: Frost warns Barnier to drop 'frustrating' tactics [ANALYSIS]. OTTAWA -- Erin O’Toole is the new leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, securing victory on the third ballot after a historic and months-long leadership campaign. Peter MacKay (left) and Erin O'Toole are seen as frontrunners to replace Andrew Scheer as Conservative leader. The latter appears to have benefited from his second-place position in many voters’ minds, though opinion varies whether that actually matters in the Conservatives’ ranked-ballot voting system. British Politics - Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds. Natalie Pon, a Conservative organizer and political activist based in Edmonton, said O’Toole is running a campaign tailored to traditional conservatives — one geared to win the race at hand. The Chancellor, who has headed up several multi-billion pound packages during the coronavirus pandemic, including the popular furlough scheme, has long been tipped by bookmakers to one day become Prime minister. Melissa Caouette, vice-president of government relations and business development at the Canadian Strategy Group, said MacKay is “rightly” looking where the party needs to pick up seats on the electoral map in order to be successful in the next federal election, while O’Toole is viewed as the most Western Canada-friendly candidate, especially since he has Alberta Premier Jason Kenney’s support. The 2017 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election was held on May 27, 2017. ... Justin Trudeau just gave the next Conservative leader … May said centrist Canadians are enjoying many of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s progressive policies, but ethical controversies such as his vacation to the Aga Khan’s island, the SNC Lavalin affair, and now the We Charity scandal, are bound to have some people exploring an alternative to the Liberals. Among voters who intend to vote Conservative in the next election, 31 per cent say they'd be more likely to consider it if the party took a firmer stand on ending the debate. But his defence comes as a series of policy u-turns are increasingly infuriating Conservative backbenchers, with one warning the events are a "mega-disaster from one day to the next". newspaper archive. Please see our Privacy Notice for details of your data protection rights. That high rating really isn’t a surprise when you think about it. Who will be the next leader of the official opposition? Some things never change. But it’s not clear whether either candidate has drummed up enough support to succeed in a general election. Boris Johnson. Boris Johnson has odds of 3/1 at Betway to leave his post as Conservative Party leader this year, with the same odds with both Betfair and Paddy Power for an exit in 2021. According to Rasmussen Reports’ Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, President Trump’s job approval rating stands at 48 percent – not 38 or 28 percent that an ‘insurrectionist’ like he supposedly is would normally rank. Tory leader poll: Who should be the next Conservative Party leader? On August 23, 2020, the Conservatives will choose their new leader, who will replace the outgoing Andrew Scheer.We have the list of candidates and the backstory on this leadership contest. centrist Canadians are enjoying many of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s progressive policies, but ethical controversies such as his vacation to the Aga Khan’s island, the SNC Lavalin affair, and now the We Charity scandal, are bound to have some people exploring an alternative to the Liberals. "We may have a big majority but that still doesn't mean to say that we shouldn't be as competent as possible as a Government.". O’Toole and MacKay are “both wise enough to know that,” said Powers, now vice-chairman of Summa Strategies. Conservative Senate Leader Don Plett voiced support for U.S. President Donald Trump's re-election during debate in the Red Chamber Wednesday. The next Conservative leader will inherit a party that's flying high: a record number of campaign donations, a dues-paying base that is nearing 270,000 members and an opponent who is … The Conservative Party said in July that a record 270,000 members were eligible to cast mail-in ballots before the Aug. 21 deadline. “Certainly in Alberta, when you hear ‘carbon tax,’ you think anti-Western Canada,” said Caouette, who has nearly 10 years of experience in conservative politics in Alberta. eed to ensure his carbon-pricing regime is administered in a way that’s not viewed as being equally as punitive as the current Liberal levy. Polling at 70 per cent in Alberta and Saskatchewan is not enough to form government, as Scheer learned in October 2019. His plan would capture all greenhouse gases, rather than just carbon dioxide. But he is favourite among the bookies to leave the leadership role in 2022 or later, at odds of just 1/3 with Betfair and Paddy Power. Former interim Conservative leader Rona Ambrose is the most “appealing” choice to head the federal party, according to a survey released Tuesday. Get the best available British … At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders.Results of these polls are displayed in this article. Boris faces no deal decision, Coronavirus plan sparks civil war – fears Chris Whitty to quit, ‘No deal goodbye!’ Boris told to send Barnier back to Brussels. MPs areturned to Westminster for the first time in six weeks, with the Prime Minister insisting his Government has not lost its way with the coronavirus crisis, claiming "sometimes it is necessary" to change direction in "response to the facts as they change". Scheer’s social-conservative values were hanging around his neck like a “stinking albatross,”, Powers also said the next Conservative leader won’t have an. As well, O’Toole’s campaign spokesperson told CTV News he thinks a fall election is more likely because of the controversy, which has dragged on through the summer, with three ongoing House committee investigations and the federal ethics commissioner looking into the actions of Trudeau and Finance Minister Bill Morneau. “Unless (MacKay) has sold a significant number of memberships within the party, I do think it’s going to be difficult for him to maintain the party base as it is, having essentially told a good third of the party, ‘You’re not welcome here, and your issues are what lost us the last election,’ ” Pon said. MacKay’s past of “law and order” conservatism could offset social conservatives’ concerns about his views, Powers said. This story was last updated on Aug. 17 at 4:12 p.m. By submitting content, you agree that you are personally responsible for the content that you publish and that iPolitics owns the copyright in the content that you submit. THIS POLL IS NOW CLOSED. He won’t throw Canada off the progressive track, but will provide a stable alternative to Trudeau’s controversy-plagued government. Click HERE for the results. “Or do they need to pivot to more of a centrist stance that speaks perhaps to a broader coalition of Canadians?”, READ MORE: Conservatives looking for leader who can win on national stage: Powers. Peter MacKay in the lead but nearly half of Tories undecided on leadership, poll shows. “It makes zero sense for the Conservatives to force an election in the fall,” he said, saying they will have to wait until spring of 2021 or longer. The Conservative leadership race is in its final week, and the question on many minds is not just who will win the leadership, but who’s likely to secure a victory in the federal election. A new poll shows businessman Kevin O'Leary and former Conservative cabinet minister Peter MacKay are the early favourites to become the next leader the federal Conservative Party. On Wednesday, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet threatened to trigger a fall election if the Prime Minister, his chief of staff and his finance minister don’t resign due to their involvement in the WE Charity scandal. The result was that, in a leadership contest, a riding with 200 Conservative members in Pictou County now has the same voting power as a downtown Calgary riding with 2,000 members. 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